Births among teens are down by 46% since 2007.
According to the January - September "U.S. Toys Supercategory Performance" report from NPD, things are looking good for most toy industry categories. Of particular note to me was the projected increase of 3% for what NPD calls the "Infant/Toddler/Preschool" sector.
I like to keep a close eye on the this category (which I will call Preschool for short) because it is the canary in the coal mine for toy industry. If Preschool is down it will be the first signs of a decline wave that will push through all age groups until it matures into the tween / teen years. In other words, whether you work in the Preschool category or not, its fortunes have an impact on yours.